Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
14%
7.54
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.11
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.45
X/1
17%
4.27
X/2
9%
7.28
X/X
15%
3.22
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
12%
6.89
2/X
7%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.0pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 27%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +26%
1.23/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.08
-16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 73%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
16.6 Crosses 12.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Barracas Central
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.62 xG 1.59
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
139 Passes 325
54% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
04.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-1 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0-1
AWAY Barracas Central
1.35 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
269 Passes 254
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Riestra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Riestra at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 51% of the ball to Barracas Central's 49%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.35 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barracas Central led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Deportivo Riestra and 0.50 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central?

Deportivo Riestra 0-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Riestra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 43%, draw 30%, Barracas Central 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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