Almere City 3-0 VVV-Venlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.1pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almere City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.68/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.75
-7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
24.9 Crosses 16.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almere City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY VVV-Venlo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.97 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
399 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
33 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-1 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
30.05.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-1 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
13.03.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-3 HT 1-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
05.08.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-0 HT 2-0 Almere City Almere City HOL2
25.02.2022 Almere City Almere City 0-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
21.08.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 1-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almere City
3-0
AWAY VVV-Venlo
1.17 xG 0.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
258 Passes 409
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almere City vs VVV-Venlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almere City cruised past VVV-Venlo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Almere City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Almere City had 40% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 60%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.17 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Almere City and 1.83 for VVV-Venlo.

What was the final score of Almere City vs VVV-Venlo?

Almere City 3-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almere City vs VVV-Venlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Almere City 49%, draw 22%, VVV-Venlo 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almere City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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