Helmond Sport 2-1 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
0.92/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.79
-29% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
20.1 Crosses 11.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ajax II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
277 Passes 446
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 1-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
04.10.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
19.04.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-1 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
27.11.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
27.01.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
07.10.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 0-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
2-1
AWAY Ajax II
1.05 xG 0.31
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 Passes 483
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
31 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport edged past Ajax II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Helmond Sport as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 41% of the ball to Ajax II's 59%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.05 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.33 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Ajax II?

Helmond Sport 2-1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 58%, draw 19%, Ajax II 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
24 Nov 2025
22:00 AZ Alkmaar II vs FC Oss Analysis →
22:00 Almere City vs VVV-Venlo Analysis →
22:00 Utrecht II vs Den Bosch Analysis →