Helmond Sport 1-1 Ajax II — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 19:07
Match Result
HomeVIEW
70%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.5
Away
14%
5.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
2.53
Over
70%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
13%
6.36
2-3
42%
2.11
4-5
33%
2.53
6+
12%
5.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.71
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.3
X/1
20%
3.9
X/2
6%
13.6
X/X
9%
7.82
2/1
4%
18.85
2/2
7%
9.0
2/X
4%
17.3
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Helmond Sport The Market 70%
Signal
AWAY Ajax II The Market 19%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.18 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.15
0.73 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.62
Weak Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ajax II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.25
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
239 Passes 524
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.04.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-1 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
27.11.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 4-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
27.01.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
07.10.2022 Ajax II Ajax II 0-1 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
20.12.2021 Ajax II Ajax II 1-1 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
01.10.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-1 HT 1-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
1 - 1
AWAY Ajax II
1.91 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
23 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
330 Passes 315
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
42 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Helmond Sport vs Ajax II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Helmond Sport and Ajax II finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Helmond Sport at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals card split: both teams to score (59%) came in, over 2.5 goals (70%) didn't.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 51% of the ball to Ajax II's 49%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.91 to 0.95.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.33 for Ajax II.

Helmond Sport vs Ajax II Result & Final Score

Helmond Sport 1 - 1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Helmond Sport vs Ajax II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 70%, draw 16%, Ajax II 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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