Helmond Sport vs Ajax II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Helmond Sport v Ajax II — Team-Based Signals
Helmond Sport vs Ajax II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 0-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Ajax II
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
3-1
HT 1-1
Ajax II
HOL2
Helmond Sport 1-1 Ajax II — Actual Match Statistics
Helmond Sport and Ajax II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Helmond Sport at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Helmond Sport had 51% of the ball to Ajax II's 49%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.91 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.33 for Ajax II.
What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Ajax II?
Helmond Sport 1-1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Ajax II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 60%, draw 20%, Ajax II 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5 went the other way.