Den Bosch 2-2 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.41
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
23%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.74
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.15
X/1
19%
5.17
X/2
11%
7.31
X/X
13%
5.66
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
11%
4.45
2/X
5%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.45/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.50
+13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
14.7 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
2W-1D-3L
AWAY De Graafschap
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.64 xG 1.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
274 Passes 407
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
15.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-4 HT 0-2 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
19.05.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-0 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
04.11.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-1 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
25.02.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
05.11.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-1 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
2-2
AWAY De Graafschap
0.80 xG 2.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 5
303 Passes 329
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 27
28 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch and De Graafschap couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Den Bosch at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Den Bosch had 48% of the ball to De Graafschap's 52%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.80 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Den Bosch and 1.83 for De Graafschap.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs De Graafschap?

Den Bosch 2-2 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 45%, draw 26%, De Graafschap 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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