FC Oss 1-5 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.02
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.19
1/2
8%
20.25
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
7%
10.45
X/2
17%
4.12
X/X
11%
6.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.01
2/X
5%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-7.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 62%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.07/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.06
+9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
15.9 Crosses 20.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
0W-2D-4L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.74 xG 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
251 Passes 419
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-3 HT 1-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
06.10.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
10.03.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-3 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
16.12.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
15.01.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
10.09.2021 FC Oss FC Oss 3-3 HT 2-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-5
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.57 xG 3.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 27
1 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag cruised past FC Oss 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Oss had 51% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 49%, shots finished 6-27, expected goals 0.57 to 3.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Oss and 2.17 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs ADO Den Haag?

FC Oss 1-5 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 27%, draw 23%, ADO Den Haag 50%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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