Roda vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roda v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals
Roda vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HOL2
2-2
HT 2-0
Roda
HOL2
2-0
HT 2-0
Roda
HOL2
1-2
HT 0-2
Excelsior
HOL2
1-3
HT 0-1
Roda
HOL2
3-1
HT 1-1
Excelsior
HOL2
Roda 3-0 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics
Roda ran out comfortable winners over Excelsior 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Roda made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Roda had 51% of the ball to Excelsior's 49%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.07 to 0.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Excelsior led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roda and 1.67 for Excelsior.
What was the final score of Roda vs Excelsior?
Roda 3-0 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roda vs Excelsior?
Before kick-off our model rated an Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Roda 36%, draw 24%, Excelsior 40%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.