Vitesse 1-2 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Oct 2024

Vitesse
1-2 HT 0-2
Volendam
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Vitesse vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.43
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.43 — our 25% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.01
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
16%
5.48
X/2
15%
6.64
X/X
15%
5.69
2/1
5%
22.7
2/2
12%
3.93
2/X
5%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.2pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Volendam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 37%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.27/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.52
-4% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
29.0 Crosses 18.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4

Vitesse vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Volendam
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.73 xG 0.93
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
484 Passes 158
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 1-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
11.08.2023 Volendam Volendam 1-2 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
18.02.2023 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
17.09.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
08.03.2009 Volendam Volendam 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
27.12.2008 Vitesse Vitesse 3-1 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL

Vitesse 1-2 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
1-2
AWAY Volendam
0.81 xG 1.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
451 Passes 265
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volendam nicked a narrow win over Vitesse 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Volendam found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vitesse had 61% of the ball to Volendam's 39%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.81 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vitesse and 1.17 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Volendam?

Vitesse 1-2 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 37%, draw 28%, Volendam 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vitesse), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
4 Oct 2024
21:00 Roda vs Excelsior Analysis →
21:00 Dordrecht vs PSV II Analysis →
21:00 FC Oss vs ADO Den Haag Analysis →
21:00 Helmond Sport vs Ajax II Analysis →
21:00 Den Bosch vs De Graafschap Analysis →
21:00 Utrecht II vs Telstar Analysis →