Dordrecht 2-0 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 4 Oct 2024

Dordrecht
2-0 HT 1-0
PSV II
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Dordrecht vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.46
Over 2.5
63%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.75
2-3 Goals
33%
2.4
4-5 Goals
33%
2.36
6+ Goals
15%
3.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.26
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
19%
4.91
X/2
15%
8.7
X/X
11%
7.43
2/1
5%
17.7
2/2
16%
4.9
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+10.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
25%
+11.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
75%
-11.7pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.8pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dordrecht v PSV II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.49/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.65
+17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.7 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Dordrecht vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
2W-2D-2L
AWAY PSV II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 1.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
319 Passes 416
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.02.2024 PSV II PSV II 0-1 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
10.11.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-4 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
07.04.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.08.2022 PSV II PSV II 1-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
06.05.2022 PSV II PSV II 1-1 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
06.08.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-1 HT 0-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2

Dordrecht 2-0 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
2-0
AWAY PSV II
3.30 xG 0.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
26 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
414 Passes 335
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
48 Box Touches 5
29 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht got the better of PSV II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Dordrecht found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dordrecht had 54% of the ball to PSV II's 46%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 3.30 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dordrecht and 1.17 for PSV II.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs PSV II?

Dordrecht 2-0 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 41%, draw 22%, PSV II 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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