Vitesse 1-1 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 23% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.11
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
18%
3.89
X/2
8%
9.79
X/X
10%
5.12
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
9%
7.6
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.68/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.66
-15% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.8 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Volendam
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.08
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
479 Passes 167
83% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 Volendam Volendam 1-2 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
18.02.2023 Volendam Volendam 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
17.09.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
08.03.2009 Volendam Volendam 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
27.12.2008 Vitesse Vitesse 3-1 HT 2-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
07.03.2004 Volendam Volendam 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
1-1
AWAY Volendam
3.18 xG 0.46
73% Ball Possession 27%
30 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 3
499 Passes 130
86% Pass Accuracy 59%
48 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse and Volendam couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vitesse at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vitesse had 73% of the ball to Volendam's 27%, shots finished 30-8, expected goals 3.18 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitesse and 1.00 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Volendam?

Vitesse 1-1 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 52%, draw 24%, Volendam 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
18 Feb 2024
14:15 Twente vs Utrecht Analysis →
16:30 Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Analysis →
18:45 Feyenoord vs RKC Waalwijk Analysis →