Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
1-0
HT 0-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Ajax
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
5-0
HT 5-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
1-5
HT 0-3
Ajax
HOL
Ajax 2-2 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax and NEC Nijmegen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Ajax at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Ajax had 53% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 47%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.09 to 1.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ajax and 0.50 for NEC Nijmegen.
What was the final score of Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
Ajax 2-2 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ajax 50%, draw 27%, NEC Nijmegen 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ajax) went the other way.