Twente 0-1 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Feb 2024

Twente
0-1 HT 0-1
Utrecht
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Twente vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
22%
4.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 22% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.1
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
17%
3.97
X/2
10%
9.53
X/X
13%
5.62
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
13%
7.0
2/X
6%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.83/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.54
+7% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -26%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
392 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.2 Crosses 18.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Twente vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Utrecht
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
364 Passes 318
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
16.04.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
22.01.2023 Twente Twente 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
22.12.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
11.09.2021 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
25.04.2021 Twente Twente 1-2 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL

Twente 0-1 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
0-1
AWAY Utrecht
1.80 xG 0.40
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
497 Passes 238
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 9
31 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Twente vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht nicked a narrow win over Twente 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Twente at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Twente had 64% of the ball to Utrecht's 36%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.80 to 0.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Twente.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Twente and 0.83 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Twente vs Utrecht?

Twente 0-1 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Twente 47%, draw 25%, Utrecht 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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