FC Oss 1-3 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.82
1/2
8%
21.05
1/X
5%
16.0
X/1
8%
10.55
X/2
21%
3.88
X/X
12%
5.94
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
28%
1.98
2/X
5%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.4pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 66%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.05/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.80
-20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -31%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 81%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
15.5 Crosses 20.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
1W-2D-3L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 1.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
266 Passes 435
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
10.03.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-3 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
16.12.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
15.01.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
10.09.2021 FC Oss FC Oss 3-3 HT 2-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
21.07.2018 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-3
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.87 xG 2.41
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
191 Passes 356
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag got the better of FC Oss 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FC Oss had 39% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 61%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.87 to 2.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Oss and 1.67 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs ADO Den Haag?

FC Oss 1-3 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 21%, draw 22%, ADO Den Haag 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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