De Graafschap 2-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.71
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.5
X/1
13%
3.59
X/2
7%
14.25
X/X
10%
6.7
2/1
9%
21.45
2/2
7%
11.0
2/X
8%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-14.1pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.2pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.88/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.84
-15% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
25.9 Crosses 16.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Graafschap
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.10 xG 0.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
416 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-4 HT 0-2 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
19.05.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-0 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
04.11.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-1 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
25.02.2022 De Graafschap De Graafschap 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
05.11.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-1 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
06.02.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-3 HT 1-2 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Graafschap
2-0
AWAY Den Bosch
1.75 xG 0.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
308 Passes 191
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH De Graafschap vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

De Graafschap beat Den Bosch 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, De Graafschap had 60% of the ball to Den Bosch's 40%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.75 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for De Graafschap and 1.00 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?

De Graafschap 2-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 52%, draw 27%, Den Bosch 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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