Groningen 0-0 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
19.15
X/1
24%
3.57
X/2
7%
15.1
X/X
10%
6.93
2/1
6%
21.45
2/2
7%
11.6
2/X
6%
19.7
Value flag · 1/X at 19.15 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.2pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.4pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.68/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.87
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
22.7 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Helmond Sport
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.52 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
378 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-2 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL2
27.10.2021 Groningen Groningen 4-0 HT 3-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
0-0
AWAY Helmond Sport
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Groningen vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen and Helmond Sport fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Groningen at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Groningen had 63% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 37%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Groningen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Groningen and 0.50 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Helmond Sport?

Groningen 0-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Groningen 54%, draw 27%, Helmond Sport 18%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Groningen) ✗ Over 2.5
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