Emmen 2-0 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Feb 2024

Emmen
2-0 HT 1-0
Cambuur
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Emmen vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.2
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
16%
5.6
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
6.26
X/X
8%
5.57
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
12%
3.74
2/X
5%
12.4
Value flag · X/2 at 6.26 — our 21% vs market 11.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +40%
1.52/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.95
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
22.7 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Emmen vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cambuur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.63
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 Passes 300
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.08.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 2-2 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
01.04.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
15.01.2023 Emmen Emmen 0-0 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
07.08.2020 Emmen Emmen 2-5 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HAZ
23.02.2018 Cambuur Cambuur 1-1 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
06.10.2017 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2

Emmen 2-0 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
2-0
AWAY Cambuur
1.07 xG 0.49
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
249 Passes 378
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen got the better of Cambuur 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Emmen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Emmen had 43% of the ball to Cambuur's 57%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.07 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Emmen and 1.50 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Cambuur?

Emmen 2-0 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Emmen 38%, draw 23%, Cambuur 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
23 Feb 2024
22:00 VVV-Venlo vs FC Eindhoven Analysis →
22:00 Willem II vs Roda Analysis →
22:00 De Graafschap vs Den Bosch Analysis →
22:00 Groningen vs Helmond Sport Analysis →
22:00 ADO Den Haag vs MVV Maastricht Analysis →