Willem II vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Willem II v Roda — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Willem II 2-3 Roda — Actual Match Statistics
Roda found just enough to beat Willem II 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
File this under upsets: a 60% lean on Willem II went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Willem II had 56% of the ball to Roda's 44%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Willem II.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Willem II and 0.83 for Roda.
Willem II vs Roda Result & Final Score
Willem II 2 - 3 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Willem II vs Roda Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Willem II 60%, draw 22%, Roda 19%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Willem II) went the other way.