Willem II vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Willem II v Roda — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Willem II
HOL2
2-2
HT 1-1
Willem II
HOL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Roda
HOL2
1-0
HT 1-0
Roda
HOL
2-2
HT 1-1
Roda
HOK
1-3
HT 1-3
Willem II
HOL
Willem II 2-3 Roda — Actual Match Statistics
Roda edged past Willem II 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Willem II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Willem II had 56% of the ball to Roda's 44%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Willem II.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Willem II and 0.83 for Roda.
What was the final score of Willem II vs Roda?
Willem II 2-3 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Willem II vs Roda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Willem II 53%, draw 23%, Roda 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Willem II), BTTS No went the other way.