ADO Den Haag vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADO Den Haag v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals
ADO Den Haag vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-3
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
3-1
HT 2-1
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
2-3
HT 0-2
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
2-6
HT 0-3
ADO Den Haag
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
ADO Den Haag
HAZ
ADO Den Haag 2-2 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics
ADO Den Haag and MVV Maastricht shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ADO Den Haag at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, ADO Den Haag had 67% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 33%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 2.88 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.50 for MVV Maastricht.
What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs MVV Maastricht?
ADO Den Haag 2-2 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs MVV Maastricht?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 58%, draw 20%, MVV Maastricht 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag) went the other way.