VVV-Venlo 2-2 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Feb 2024

VVV-Venlo
2-2 HT 1-0
FC Eindhoven
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

VVV-Venlo vs FC Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.7
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
13%
4.71
X/2
16%
7.13
X/X
9%
4.88
2/1
5%
24.0
2/2
11%
4.99
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VVV-Venlo v FC Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.31/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.97
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
26.8 Crosses 19.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

VVV-Venlo vs FC Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
317 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.11.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-2 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
14.04.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-2 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
16.12.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-2 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
11.03.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 4-0 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
19.11.2021 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
21.04.2017 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2

VVV-Venlo 2-2 FC Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
2-2
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.15 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
449 Passes 300
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VVV-Venlo and FC Eindhoven shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was VVV-Venlo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 59% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 41%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.15 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.00 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs FC Eindhoven?

VVV-Venlo 2-2 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 42%, draw 25%, FC Eindhoven 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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