Ajax II vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax II v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals
Ajax II vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 0-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Ajax II
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
Ajax II 1-0 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax II nicked a narrow win over Helmond Sport 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ajax II had 46% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 54%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.83 to 0.34.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajax II and 1.33 for Helmond Sport.
What was the final score of Ajax II vs Helmond Sport?
Ajax II 1-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax II vs Helmond Sport?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ajax II 41%, draw 25%, Helmond Sport 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.