PSV II 0-2 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.47
2-3 Goals
38%
2.13
4-5 Goals
25%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
4.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+9.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.1pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.60/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.50
+10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
15.8 Crosses 15.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.96 xG 1.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
433 Passes 311
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
12.04.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-5 HT 0-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
23.10.2023 PSV II PSV II 3-4 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
19.05.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.10.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.04.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-3 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
0-2
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.16 xG 0.69
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
611 Passes 210
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH PSV II vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven beat PSV II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was PSV II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV II had 70% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 30%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.16 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured PSV II.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for PSV II and 1.83 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of PSV II vs FC Eindhoven?

PSV II 0-2 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split PSV II 44%, draw 25%, FC Eindhoven 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSV II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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