FC Eindhoven 1-0 PSV II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Nov 2024

FC Eindhoven
1-0 HT 1-0
PSV II
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

FC Eindhoven vs PSV II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
14%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.58
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
8.15
X/X
12%
5.73
2/1
7%
21.6
2/2
10%
5.47
2/X
6%
13.85
Value flag · X/2 at 8.15 — our 17% vs market 8.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Eindhoven v PSV II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV II EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.40/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.69
-27% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.2 Crosses 11.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

FC Eindhoven vs PSV II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Eindhoven
1W-2D-3L
AWAY PSV II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.78 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
333 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.04.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-5 HT 0-2 PSV II PSV II HOL2
23.10.2023 PSV II PSV II 3-4 HT 1-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
19.05.2023 PSV II PSV II 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.10.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 2-2 HT 1-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
15.04.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-3 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
23.08.2021 PSV II PSV II 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2

FC Eindhoven 1-0 PSV II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Eindhoven
1-0
AWAY PSV II
2.41 xG 0.64
30% Ball Possession 70%
21 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
207 Passes 645
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Eindhoven vs PSV II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven edged past PSV II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Eindhoven as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Eindhoven had 30% of the ball to PSV II's 70%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.41 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Eindhoven's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Eindhoven and 2.83 for PSV II.

What was the final score of FC Eindhoven vs PSV II?

FC Eindhoven 1-0 PSV II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Eindhoven vs PSV II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Eindhoven 43%, draw 24%, PSV II 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Eindhoven) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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