ADO Den Haag 2-1 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
8.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.82
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
20%
4.94
X/2
9%
7.07
X/X
9%
5.45
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
18%
4.64
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 6% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.47/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.14
+14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
22.0 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Emmen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.65 xG 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 443
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 3-0 HT 2-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
20.10.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-3 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
06.05.2022 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
20.08.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
23.01.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
12.12.2020 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
2-1
AWAY Emmen
1.93 xG 0.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
244 Passes 287
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag edged past Emmen 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 47% of the ball to Emmen's 53%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.93 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADO Den Haag's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.33 for Emmen.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Emmen?

ADO Den Haag 2-1 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 45%, draw 22%, Emmen 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5
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