Telstar 2-2 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.42
1/2
6%
24.3
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
8%
6.65
X/2
14%
5.01
X/X
10%
5.24
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
30.5
2/2
22%
3.0
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.23/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.36
-16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
21.0 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Cambuur
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.84 xG 1.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
283 Passes 329
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
18.08.2023 Telstar Telstar 2-3 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
05.03.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 2-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
04.12.2020 Telstar Telstar 1-2 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
07.09.2019 Telstar Telstar 0-2 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
05.04.2019 Telstar Telstar 4-2 HT 3-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
2-2
AWAY Cambuur
1.20 xG 0.86
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
222 Passes 435
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and Cambuur shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Telstar had 37% of the ball to Cambuur's 63%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.20 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Telstar and 2.17 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Cambuur?

Telstar 2-2 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Telstar 34%, draw 24%, Cambuur 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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