Vitesse 2-1 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Nov 2024

Vitesse
2-1 HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Vitesse vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
9.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.44
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
9%
5.55
X/2
15%
5.91
X/X
15%
5.23
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
3.76
2/X
5%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
39%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 39%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
0.95/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.31
-21% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
23.3 Crosses 16.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Vitesse 2-1 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
2-1
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.11 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 8
311 Passes 254
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
43 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse edged past Helmond Sport 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Vitesse found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vitesse had 52% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 48%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.11 to 1.00.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Helmond Sport?

Vitesse 2-1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated an Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 31%, draw 29%, Helmond Sport 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Helmond Sport), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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