Roda 1-1 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Nov 2024

Roda
1-1 HT 1-0
Volendam
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Roda vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.64
2-3 Goals
39%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
6.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.81
1/2
6%
23.4
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
10%
6.57
X/2
13%
5.73
X/X
14%
5.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
2/2
14%
3.15
2/X
8%
12.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roda v Volendam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.39/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.41
-5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
19.6 Crosses 21.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Roda vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Volendam
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.45 xG 1.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
388 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.02.2022 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
13.09.2021 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
06.03.2021 Volendam Volendam 3-4 HT 2-1 Roda Roda HOL2
04.10.2020 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
24.01.2020 Roda Roda 2-3 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
16.08.2019 Volendam Volendam 4-0 HT 3-0 Roda Roda HOL2

Roda 1-1 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
1-1
AWAY Volendam
1.52 xG 1.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
215 Passes 368
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roda vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda and Volendam couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Roda had 39% of the ball to Volendam's 61%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.52 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Roda and 2.33 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Roda vs Volendam?

Roda 1-1 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Roda 38%, draw 29%, Volendam 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
29 Nov 2024
22:00 ADO Den Haag vs Emmen Analysis →
22:00 Excelsior vs Ajax II Analysis →
22:00 FC Eindhoven vs PSV II Analysis →
22:00 Vitesse vs Helmond Sport Analysis →
22:00 Telstar vs Cambuur Analysis →