ADO Den Haag 3-0 Emmen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.39
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.44
X/2
16%
8.35
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1
9%
21.75
2/2
9%
5.77
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Emmen EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.55/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.43
+15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
24.3 Crosses 12.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Emmen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.58
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 447
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Emmen Emmen 2-3 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
06.05.2022 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
20.08.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-2 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
23.01.2021 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL
12.12.2020 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
27.09.2019 Emmen Emmen 3-0 HT 1-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
3-0
AWAY Emmen
0.94 xG 0.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
321 Passes 268
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Emmen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag ran out comfortable winners over Emmen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 54% of the ball to Emmen's 46%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.94 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.83 for Emmen.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Emmen?

ADO Den Haag 3-0 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Emmen?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 43%, draw 26%, Emmen 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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