Telstar 0-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.93
6+ Goals
12%
18.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.93 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.63
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
13%
4.13
X/2
11%
7.35
X/X
6%
4.54
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
16%
5.83
2/X
11%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.55/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.45
-14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
22.9 Crosses 17.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.33 xG 1.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
326 Passes 316
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-4 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
28.04.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
11.12.2022 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.04.2022 Telstar Telstar 1-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.10.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
07.05.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 4-1 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
0-0
AWAY Den Bosch
1.51 xG 0.94
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
374 Passes 245
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and Den Bosch fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Telstar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Telstar had 58% of the ball to Den Bosch's 42%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.51 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telstar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Telstar and 1.17 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Den Bosch?

Telstar 0-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Telstar 44%, draw 23%, Den Bosch 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Telstar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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