Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Helmond Sport v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
2-2
HT 1-1
NAC Breda
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
4-0
HT 2-0
NAC Breda
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Helmond Sport
HOL2
3-2
HT 0-1
Helmond Sport
HOL2
Helmond Sport 1-0 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics
Helmond Sport nicked a narrow win over NAC Breda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was NAC Breda at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Helmond Sport had 48% of the ball to NAC Breda's 52%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.59 to 0.37.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Helmond Sport and 1.33 for NAC Breda.
What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?
Helmond Sport 1-0 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?
Before kick-off our model rated an NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 31%, draw 25%, NAC Breda 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.