VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VVV-Venlo v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-1
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
1-2
HT 0-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
VVV-Venlo 3-1 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
VVV-Venlo got the better of De Graafschap 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; VVV-Venlo found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, VVV-Venlo had 37% of the ball to De Graafschap's 63%, shots finished 18-20, expected goals 3.21 to 1.89.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.50 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap?
VVV-Venlo 3-1 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 41%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.