Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-2 Kuveyt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Körfez Cup, 24 Dec 2024

📅24/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.78
Over 2.5
35%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.03
No
65%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
45%
-10.1pp
65%
BTTS No
55%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuveyt EU Bookmakers 21%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
1.28/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.20
-64% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
28.2 Crosses 11.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kuveyt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
313 Passes 270
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2023 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-0 HT 1-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt HAZ
10.01.2023 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 0-1 HT 0-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt AKK
17.11.2014 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 2-2 HT 2-2 Kuveyt Kuveyt AKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1-2
AWAY Kuveyt
2.27 xG 1.18
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
406 Passes 97
86% Pass Accuracy 58%
23 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kuveyt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuveyt nicked a narrow win over Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri had 74% of the ball to Kuveyt's 26%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.27 to 1.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri and 1.00 for Kuveyt.

What was the final score of Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kuveyt?

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-2 Kuveyt in the Körfez Cup on 24/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kuveyt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 54%, draw 25%, Kuveyt 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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