Umman vs Katar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umman v Katar — Team-Based Signals
Umman vs Katar Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Katar
ARAPK
0-1
HT 0-1
Katar
DKE
2-1
HT 1-0
Umman
DKE
Umman 2-1 Katar — Actual Match Statistics
Umman nicked a narrow win over Katar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Katar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Umman had 44% of the ball to Katar's 56%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.77 to 1.35.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katar led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Umman and 1.67 for Katar.
What was the final score of Umman vs Katar?
Umman 2-1 Katar in the Körfez Cup on 24/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umman vs Katar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Umman 28%, draw 29%, Katar 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.