St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 0-7 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
12.23
Draw
24%
8.11
Away
53%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
48%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
5%
+18.0pp
24%
Draw
9%
+15.0pp
53%
Away Win
86%
-33.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.69/3.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.11/0.72
+150% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -27%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
186 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 83%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.1
12.4 Crosses 23.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.17 xG 4.81
24% Ball Possession 76%
4 Total Shots 35
0 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 9
127 Passes 548
61% Pass Accuracy 87%
5 Box Touches 67
3 Crosses 50
1 Yellow Cards 0
22.11.2023 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
0-7
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.00 xG 5.73
21% Ball Possession 79%
0 Total Shots 47
0 Shots on Target 20
0 Corners 13
106 Passes 610
55% Pass Accuracy 89%
2 Box Touches 82
1 Crosses 47
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) cruised past St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 7-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) had 21% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 79%, shots finished 0-47, expected goals 0.00 to 5.73.

What was the final score of St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Lyon (K)?

St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 0-7 Lyon (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 23%, draw 24%, Lyon (K) 53%. The final score 0-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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