Al Ahli Manama 0-3 Busaiteen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.89
Over 2.5
67%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.31
2-3 Goals
35%
2.07
4-5 Goals
31%
2.42
6+ Goals
17%
4.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
15%
+9.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-14.2pp
33%
Under 2.5
31%
+1.5pp
67%
Over 2.5
69%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Busaiteen EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Busaiteen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.12.2023 Busaiteen Busaiteen 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHKK
30.10.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-2 HT 1-1 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
13.11.2022 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-5 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHK
19.02.2021 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 1-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
15.01.2021 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Busaiteen Busaiteen BAH
13.09.2020 Busaiteen Busaiteen 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
0-3
AWAY Busaiteen
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Busaiteen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busaiteen ran out comfortable winners over Al Ahli Manama 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Busaiteen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 40% of the ball to Busaiteen's 60%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 0.67 for Busaiteen.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Busaiteen?

Al Ahli Manama 0-3 Busaiteen in the Bahrain - Cup on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Busaiteen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busaiteen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 25%, draw 24%, Busaiteen 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busaiteen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busaiteen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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