Al Tadhmon 0-2 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
62%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
10.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 33% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
34%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.1pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Tadhmon EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 70%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
0.17/3.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.52
-85% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +120%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Tadhmon
0-2
AWAY Khalidiya
31% Ball Possession 69%
1 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Tadhmon vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya beat Al Tadhmon 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Tadhmon had 31% of the ball to Khalidiya's 69%, shots finished 1-11.

What was the final score of Al Tadhmon vs Khalidiya?

Al Tadhmon 0-2 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Cup on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Tadhmon vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Tadhmon 17%, draw 21%, Khalidiya 62%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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