Capivariano 1-1 Taubate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
35%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
No Pick
61%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
35%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
57%
-16.2pp
35%
Draw
22%
+12.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Capivariano The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Taubate The Market 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
439 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Capivariano
1-1
AWAY Taubate
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Capivariano vs Taubate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Capivariano and Taubate couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Capivariano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Capivariano had 46% of the ball to Taubate's 54%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Capivariano vs Taubate?

Capivariano 1-1 Taubate in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Capivariano vs Taubate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Capivariano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Capivariano 41%, draw 35%, Taubate 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Capivariano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Capivariano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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