Linense 2-0 Comercial FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A2, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over Pick
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
34%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
57%
-16.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linense The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Comercial FC The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
428 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Comercial FC
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
21.01.2012 Comercial FC Comercial FC 3-4 HT 2-3 Linense Linense BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Linense
2-0
AWAY Comercial FC
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Linense vs Comercial FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linense saw off Comercial FC 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Linense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Linense had 51% of the ball to Comercial FC's 49%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Linense vs Comercial FC?

Linense 2-0 Comercial FC in the Brazil - Paulista A2 on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linense vs Comercial FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Linense 41%, draw 27%, Comercial FC 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linense) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linense) ✗ Over 2.5
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