25/01/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
CSKA Sofia vs Tractor FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
29%
Draw
29%
38%
Away Win
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CSKA Sofia v Tractor FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
CSKA Sofia
EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tractor FC
EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+12%
/
-9%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
292 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
381 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
CSKA Sofia vs Tractor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tractor FC squeezed past CSKA Sofia 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tractor FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Tractor FC?
CSKA Sofia 0-1 Tractor FC in the Friendlies on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Tractor FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tractor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 32%, draw 29%, Tractor FC 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tractor FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Tractor FC)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
25 Jan 2024