Legia Warszawa 1-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 33%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
5.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
+150% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -63%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Legia Warszawa vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Warszawa and Rapid Wien shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Warszawa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Legia Warszawa vs Rapid Wien?

Legia Warszawa 1-1 Rapid Wien in the Friendlies on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Warszawa vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Legia Warszawa 43%, draw 30%, Rapid Wien 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Legia Warszawa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Warszawa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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