Neman Grodno 1-0 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-0.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gomel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.08.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-2 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
09.04.2023 Gomel Gomel 3-3 HT 1-2 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
30.10.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 3-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
03.07.2022 Gomel Gomel 3-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
15.08.2021 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
11.04.2021 Gomel Gomel 2-0 HT 2-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
1-0
AWAY Gomel
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno edged past Gomel 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 39% of the ball to Gomel's 61%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neman Grodno and 1.67 for Gomel.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Gomel?

Neman Grodno 1-0 Gomel in the Friendlies on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 55%, draw 24%, Gomel 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Under 2.5
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