Tlaxcala 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 25 Jan 2024

📅25/01/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.55/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
-4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
04.10.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 3-1 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
15.02.2023 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
13.07.2022 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
24.02.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 2-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
28.07.2021 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 1-1 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
18.02.2021 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-1 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorados De Sinaloa squeezed past Tlaxcala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tlaxcala at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorados De Sinaloa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.67 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Tlaxcala 0-1 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 50%, draw 26%, Dorados De Sinaloa 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tlaxcala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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