Atletico San Luis 1-2 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 25 Jan 2024

Atletico San Luis
1-2 HT 1-0
Tigres UANL
📅25/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.31
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
10%
5.93
X/2
15%
4.94
X/X
15%
4.32
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
20%
3.33
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico San Luis v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.34/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.08
-9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
239 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.3 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.47 xG 1.42
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
242 Passes 448
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-2 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
29.01.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
02.10.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-3 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
20.02.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
30.09.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-3 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
26.02.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-2 HT 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK

Atletico San Luis 1-2 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
1-2
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.14 xG 1.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
380 Passes 491
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 28
6 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL squeezed past Atletico San Luis 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 43% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 57%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.14 to 1.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico San Luis and 2.00 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL?

Atletico San Luis 1-2 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 30%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
25 Jan 2024
04:00 Monterrey vs Queretaro Analysis →
06:06 FC Juarez vs Club America Analysis →