Monterrey 1-1 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 25 Jan 2024

Monterrey
1-1 HT 1-0
Queretaro
📅25/01/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Monterrey vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.76
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
17.75
X/1
14%
3.55
X/2
8%
13.55
X/X
9%
5.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.45
2/2
8%
11.1
2/X
7%
18.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.45 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monterrey v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +23%
1.98/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.70
+6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.2 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6

Monterrey vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queretaro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.66 xG 0.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
382 Passes 267
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
16.02.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 2-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
22.07.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 0-3 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
09.01.2022 Monterrey Monterrey 0-0 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
20.10.2021 Queretaro Queretaro 1-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
07.03.2021 Monterrey Monterrey 2-1 HT 2-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK

Monterrey 1-1 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
1-1
AWAY Queretaro
1.94 xG 0.76
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
558 Passes 279
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey and Queretaro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Monterrey carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monterrey had 65% of the ball to Queretaro's 35%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 1.94 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monterrey and 0.33 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Queretaro?

Monterrey 1-1 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 25/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 56%, draw 23%, Queretaro 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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