Stirling Albion 3-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 26% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.27/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.61
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
191 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 165 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 4.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Albion
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
03.12.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
21.09.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
11.03.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-1 HT 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
14.02.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
29.10.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-1 HT 1-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
27.08.2022 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
POST-MATCH Stirling Albion vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Albion ran out comfortable winners over Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stirling Albion and 1.33 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Stirling Albion 3-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 35%, draw 24%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 41%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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