Huesca 4-0 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.51
6+ Goals
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.94
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.4
X/1
10%
3.73
X/2
5%
12.35
X/X
15%
4.47
2/1
11%
29.0
2/2
8%
11.8
2/X
5%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.75/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.57
-11% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
23.4 Crosses 14.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cartagena
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.36 xG 1.02
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
261 Passes 390
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 1-0 HT 1-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
26.05.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 0-2 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
21.12.2023 Huesca Huesca 3-0 HT 3-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
14.01.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
21.08.2022 Huesca Huesca 2-3 HT 1-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
08.01.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 0-3 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
4-0
AWAY Cartagena
1.98 xG 0.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
436 Passes 379
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca ran out comfortable winners over Cartagena 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Huesca as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Huesca had 54% of the ball to Cartagena's 46%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.98 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Huesca and 0.67 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Cartagena?

Huesca 4-0 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Huesca 53%, draw 26%, Cartagena 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huesca), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huesca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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