Tenerife 0-1 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.24
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
19%
4.25
X/2
11%
7.95
X/X
13%
3.67
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
10%
7.07
2/X
6%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.48/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.33
-16% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.3 Crosses 18.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Eldense
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 0.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
270 Passes 285
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2024 Eldense Eldense 2-1 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
19.02.2024 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
02.12.2023 Eldense Eldense 0-3 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
0-1
AWAY Eldense
0.63 xG 0.14
70% Ball Possession 30%
10 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
401 Passes 122
81% Pass Accuracy 58%
22 Box Touches 7
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense nicked a narrow win over Tenerife 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tenerife at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Tenerife had 70% of the ball to Eldense's 30%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.63 to 0.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tenerife.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tenerife had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tenerife and 0.67 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Eldense?

Tenerife 0-1 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 46%, draw 26%, Eldense 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tenerife) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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