AC Milan (K) 3-2 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
3%
2/1
12%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+11.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-10.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.0pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Milan (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Roma (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.54 xG 1.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 12
330 Passes 300
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 45
17 Crosses 43
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
3-2
AWAY Roma (K)
1.54 xG 1.60
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
254 Passes 421
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) edged past Roma (K) 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Roma (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 40% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 60%, shots finished 14-23, expected goals 1.54 to 1.60.

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Roma (K)?

AC Milan (K) 3-2 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 33%, draw 23%, Roma (K) 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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