Lazio (K) 2-0 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
38%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.0
Over 2.5
64%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
26%
+13.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
50%
-11.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
46%
-10.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
54%
+10.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.19/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.00
+150% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.3 Crosses 13.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.58 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
311 Passes 246
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-2 HT 1-1 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio (K)
2-0
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.98 xG 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
336 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lazio (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) beat Fiorentina (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Lazio (K) made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lazio (K) had 51% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 49%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.98 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Lazio (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Lazio (K) 2-0 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lazio (K) 39%, draw 22%, Fiorentina (K) 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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