Tenerife (K) 2-0 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.13/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.39
+50% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.7 Crosses 17.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 1.73
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
178 Passes 312
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
14.04.2024 Tenerife (K) Tenerife (K) 2-2 HT 2-1 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife (K)
2-0
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
0.86 xG 1.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
202 Passes 322
65% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tenerife (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife (K) saw off Madrid CFF (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Tenerife (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tenerife (K) had 42% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 58%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.86 to 1.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Madrid CFF (K).

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Madrid CFF (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tenerife (K) and 2.00 for Madrid CFF (K).

What was the final score of Tenerife (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Tenerife (K) 2-0 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tenerife (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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