San Martin San Juan 0-1 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.26
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.05
X/1
13%
5.15
X/2
12%
5.75
X/X
12%
3.53
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.55
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.14/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.40
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.5 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.80 xG 2.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 Passes 262
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2018 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-3 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
13.02.2018 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-1 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
05.06.2017 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
14.05.2016 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 3-2 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin San Juan
0-1
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.38 xG 1.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
341 Passes 194
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman nicked a narrow win over San Martin San Juan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was San Martin San Juan at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, San Martin San Juan had 61% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 39%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.38 to 1.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Tucuman's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for San Martin San Juan and 2.25 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Tucuman?

San Martin San Juan 0-1 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 42%, draw 29%, Atletico Tucuman 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (San Martin San Juan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
25 Jan 2025
01:15 Independiente vs CA Sarmiento Analysis →
03:00 Belgrano Cordoba vs Huracan Analysis →
23:00 San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba Analysis →